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Indivisible:

Why the gap between battleground vs non-battleground matters. As you dig into the national data, one big takeaway emerges: the swing against us in the battleground states was significantly less than the swing against us in non-battleground states. 

In other words, where we invested in an effective campaigning, ground game, and GOTV efforts, we closed the gap by as much as 5-6%. As you’ll see below, we were swimming against a powerful current. But that doesn’t mean the work we did on the ground to get out the vote didn’t matter. To take one obvious example: the ground game margin probably made the difference between victory and loss in the WI, AZ, NV, and MI Senate races and the NC statewide races -- where we won. 

A dramatic global backlash against incumbents. For the first time in the history of modern democracy stretching back to 1905 (as far as the data goes), every single democracy that held elections this year has seen a decline in vote share for the governing party. Ideology, policy agenda, and time in office didn’t matter. From France to Slovenia to South Korea, every ruling party lost vote share this year. In short, it has become clear that this year was a historically bad time to be a national governing party looking for votes.

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Coalition Calendar: (click on the calendar)